This week, Vernon Jones switched from Georgia's gubernatorial race to a U.S. House bid after a meeting with Trump. Mitchell said she could appeal to like-minded parents and make a strong foil to Whitmer, who often talks about her own role as a mother of daughters and also faced criticism for her coronavirus lockdown orders. When asked about how Manchin would stack up against Justice, former Rep. Nick Rahall, a surrogate during Manchin's 2018 campaign, texted ABC News that the race "would be a nailbiter. Trump endorsed Brooks in April 2021 and withdrew that endorsement two months ago. The defections signal that McConnell enters the next Congress with a weaker grip on power as newer, younger and more ambitious senators grow increasingly agitated at their party leadership following a disappointing midterm election for the GOP. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky. arrives at the U.S. Capitol Wednesday. For example, in 2012, Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) ran ads designed to boost Todd Akin in Missouri's GOP Senate primary, whom McCaskill went on to defeat in the general election. ", James Davenport, a Rose State College political science professor, said the case hinges on whether an irrevocable resignation creates a vacancy: "The court would have to find something that would be fairly clear in striking that process (the irrevocable resignation) down. The poll's margin of error (MOE) was +/- 3.3 percentage points. Still, it wasnt an across-the-board success for Democrats. Jessica Taylor, a business owner who lost the 2020 Republican primary for Alabamas 2nd Congressional District, ended her campaign for U.S. Senate last week and endorsed aerospace company founder and former Black Hawk pilot Mike Durant. John L. Dorman. We should have seen a significant majority in the Senate and we should have seen a very large majority in the House. Jim Justice delivers his annual State of the State address in the House Chambers at the West Virginia Capitol, Jan. 11, 2023, in Charleston, W.Va. Sen. Joe Manchin talks on the phone with a staffer in the Senate Reception room of the U.S. Capitol, April 18, 2023, in Washington. Protect Ohio Values, the only other PAC to have spent more than $5 million, supports Vance in Ohio. This time he has a base.. incumbents face each other in contested primaries or general elections if the incumbent in the new district also seeks re-election. Trump said in July 2021 that Britt was unqualified and criticized her connection to retiring incumbent Sen. Richard Shelby (R), whom Trump called a RINO. ", Ducey also said, "We have a strong field of candidates in Arizona and I will be actively supporting our nominee -- and perhaps weighing in before the primary. ", McCrory said, "McConnell brought a change in the Supreme Court working with Donald Trump that we desperately needed, and without his legislative skills, it wouldn't have happened.". Sen. Roy Blunt (R) is not seeking re-election. An early example of this conflict in the 2022 season is developing in Missouri's GOP Senate primary. U.S. Senate in Arizona: Blake Masters defeated four other candidates. Of that total, about $3.5 million was reserved by outside GOP groups.". Some state Republicans were concerned Mastriano would hurt Republicans chances of winning not just the governors mansion but the Senate race and some congressional contests. More than a dozen Republicans are running, including state Sen. Nathan Dahm, Inhofes former chief of staff Luke Holland, U.S. Rep. Markwayne Mullin, and former state House Speaker T.W. She has appeal for both Democrats and independents and won a write-in campaign in 2010 after losing the Republican primary. In the 118th United States Congress, Democrats have majority control of the Senate. Raffensperger was elected secretary of state in 2018. Chris Christie (R), Arizona Gov. Race forecasters view the general election as either Lean or Tilt Democratic. U.S. Senate in Missouri: Eric Schmitt won against 20 other candidates. Democrats lead the chamber . At stake is the Democrats one-seat majority as they . Greitens says, "Join the MAGA crew, get a RINO hunting permit. Kentucky Republican Sen. Mitch McConnell already the longest serving GOP leader in Senate history will extend that run for at least another two years after winning against a longshot challenge by Florida Republican Sen. Rick Scott to remove him from power. Of course. Laxalt had endorsements from Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas). Ohio U.S. Senate: J.D. Mullins endorsers include former President Donald Trump (R), and Shannons included former Alaska Gov. The Club for Growth has also said they are prepared to drop $10 million to back Mooney. Sen. Robert Casey (D-Pa.) is seen during a Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee hearing on Wednesday, March 22, 2023 to discuss the upcoming price hike for Modernas COVID-19 vaccine. Club for Growth endorsed state Treasurer Josh Mandel last March. The initial 2022 Senate field includes 21 seats currently held by Republicans to 13 for the Democrats. But thats why elections probably should come with the same disclaimer as the stock market: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Oz, Vance, and Budd are the top three subjects of satellite spending. Trump isnt likely to win them all. Bolduc ran in and lost the 2020 GOP Senate primary. If we answer that question no, then get rid of them," Bolduc said. He has never run in the new Ohio in the ruby red Ohio. As of Wednesday morning, Laxalt led Brown 56%-34%. Along with Pennsylvania, Ohio is one of the three states with a Senate election this year that has one Republican and one Democratic senatorSherrod Brown (D) holds the state's other U.S. Senate seat. The 43 other candidates each had less than 5%. "West Virginia voters want a principled conservative like Alex Mooney who will fight the out-of-control spending and woke policies coming from Washington. We've been tracking Trump's 2022 endorsements. Dixon was a news anchor for America's Voice News. Attorney Stephen Jones alleges in the lawsuit that the state would violate the 17th Amendment by holding the special election before Sen. Jim Inhofe's resignation is effective on Jan. 3, 2023. Brian Kemp defeated former U.S. Sen. David Perdue and three others. Both outlets mention Republican nominees, including in Arizona, Georgia, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, as a factor in their ratings changes. Alabama: Richard Shelby+ (Retiring) Alaska: Lisa Murkowski Arkansas: John Boozman Florida: Marco Rubio Idaho: Mike Crapo Indiana: Todd Young Iowa: Chuck Grassley John Thune (R-S.D.) Three forecasters rate the general election as a Toss-up. Republicans are on offense as they search for the top candidates to take down a cadre of incumbent Democrats who have survived cycle upon cycle. Trump endorsed McGeachin last autumn, but did little to actively support her.[4]. The 2020 presidential election results were a subject of debate in the primary, as we've discussed in several issues of The Heart of the Primaries. This changes their status from unaffiliated to affiliated with that party unless they fill out a card to return to undeclared status. At the same time, supporters of abortion rights are seeking to place a measure on the November ballot that would legalize abortion in the state. Vance was a 'never Trumper'. Holland has served as Inhofes chief of staff since 2017. State Sen. Matt Dolan, who placed third in the Ohio U.S. Senate primary in May, has launched Ohio Matters PAC. "I don't think we're generating the results politically or governmentally," said Sen. Mike Braun, R-Ind., who voted for Scott. Inhofe is one of seven senatorssix Republicans and one Democratto announce retirements at the end of the 117th Congress. A recurring theme during primary season is how candidates must connect with the primary election voter base and lay the groundwork for the general election. Paladino was the Republican gubernatorial nominee in 2010 and co-chaired Trumps 2016 campaign in New York. The juniors rode in an M3A1 Stuart tank to prom. Timken said, "Friday and Monday nights antics, the only person who really won was Tim Ryan. Pruitt said, "I think Oklahomans know when the New York Times and CNN and MSNBC and those places are against you, Oklahomans are for you.". Indiana's ballot included state legislative elections, while Ohio's did not, as redistricting is still underway. Since Raffensperger won more than 50%, there won't be a runoff. Trump was a winner in Pennsylvanias GOP gubernatorial primary, as state Sen. Doug Mastriano bested a crowded field of contenders. No other candidate had support from more than 5% of respondents. Republicans are on offense as they search for the top candidates to take down a cadre of incumbent Democrats who have survived [] Scott, Hawley and Cruz are all senators with future presidential ambitions. Former President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Vance in mid-April. Inhofe will retire in January. Thats the first, second and third hurdle for anyone.. That strategy ultimately paid off in the GOP primary for Illinois governor, where Trumps endorsed candidate, state Sen. Darren Bailey, notched a win over a more moderate Republican, former Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin. The super PAC Honor Pennsylvania, which supports McCormick, is spending more than $900,000 on an ad against Oz. Fifteen Republican senators and 14 Republican House members voted with Democrats Thursday and Friday to pass gun safety legislation, the first of its kind in three decades. Davis is one of eight House members who sought re-election and lost this year. Click here for more information. Nineteen Republican senators approved the $1 trillion infrastructure package on Tuesday, publicly defying former President Donald Trump who attempted to kill the bill. Two-term Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who spearheaded a lawsuit that sought to overturn the 2020 election, got a boost from a Trump endorsement. The lopsided win signaled the triumph of Trumpism over the Bush dynasty. Mississippi's 4th District primary runoff, Mississippi's 3rd District primary runoff, Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, Special elections to the 116th United States Congress (2019-2020), United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2020, United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2020, United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2022, United States House Republican Party primaries, 2022, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Congressional incumbents not running for re-election, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_Senate_Republican_Party_primaries,_2022&oldid=9087294, Pages using DynamicPageList3 parser function, Republican primary elections, U.S. Senate, 2022, Major party primaries by office and year overviews, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. Arrington, a former state representative, won the district's Republican primary in 2018, defeating incumbent Rep. Mark Sanford (R) before losing the general election to Joe Cunningham (D). I'm not either. Incumbent Sen. Jim Inhofe (R) is resigning effective Jan. 3, 2023. 0:23. The state has long been expected to be at the center of the fight for the Senate but that battle heated up last week when Gov. Toomey was one of seven Republican senators who voted "guilty" at Trump's impeachment trial following the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol breach. How many justices are on the Supreme Court? Luke Holland, U.S. Rep Markwayne Mullin, and state Sen. Nathan Dahm announced their candidacies shortly after Inhofe's announcement. In October, Club for Growth Action spent nearly $500,000 on TV and radio ads criticizing J.D. Republicans Up for Reelection in 2022. Georgia's primary is set for May 24. U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), who chairs the House Republican Conference, endorsed Leavitt. In the state's 2020 Senate election, Thom Tillis (R) defeated Cal Cunningham (D) 49% to 47%. Twenty-one candidates are running in the Senate GOP primary on Aug. 2. The Associated Press wrote that "Walkers campaign said he was offered Trump's endorsement if he ran for a House seat in central North Carolina. Gov. The Senate Leadership Fund, the prominent super PAC aligned with McConnell, put out internal polling earlier this year showing Manchin losing to Justice but beating Mooney in a primary, an early signal of muscular involvement to come from the group. "The most important thing we can do is get these differences behind us.". The filing deadline is March 8 and the primary is scheduled for May 17. The retirements are likely to pose. Barnette and Mastriano ran campaigns in tandem, endorsing one another. Trump has not indicated whether he intends to issue an endorsement. "Because it was interactive and flushed out what we are going to be for as a caucus and all I can tell you is for the four years I have been here, that (was) the best four hours.". Manchin, for his part, issued a statement shortly before Justice announced his run, both boasting of his electoral prowess and contributing to speculation he may have other aspirations. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley endorsed Mowers. Langworthys endorsers included U.S. Rep. Jim Banks (R), and Paladinos included U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R). All five candidates who lost in the June 7 primary endorsed Ezell, who was elected Jackson County sheriff in 2014. Britt once served as Shelby's chief of staff. The Missouri Fraternal Order of Police (FOP) said, "The creation and release of this video again demonstrates that Mr. Greitens does not possess the sound judgement necessary to represent the people of Missouri in the United States Senate." Who they are and how the bench is at its current size. On March 3, Gov. Laxalt faces incumbent Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) in this Toss-up general election. Manchin has more than $9 million in the bank before he starts campaigning in earnest, if he chooses to run. Michael Crespin, the director of the Carl Albert Congressional Research & Studies Center at the University of Oklahoma, said, "I expect the primary to be very crowded. However, he's believed to be the only Democrat who can realistically retain the Senate seat -- given his deep ties to West Virginia and history of success there, even as the state increasingly favors Republicans and twice voted for Donald Trump by yawning margins. The 2022 U.S. Senate election in Louisiana will be held between incumbent Sen. John Kennedy, R-La., and a slate of challengers. Before joining Congress, Kelly served as a U.S. Navy pilot and a NASA astronaut. Inhofe endorsed Holland in his retirement announcement. Twenty-two candidates are running in the top-four regular primary, including Begich, Palin, and Peltola. The following table compared U.S. Senate race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections prior to the November 2022 elections. The 17th Amendment states, "When vacancies happen in the representation of any State in the Senate, the executive authority of such State shall issue writs of election to fill such vacancies. Hassan defeated Kelly Ayotte (R) 48.0% to 47.9% in 2016. "Its going to be a fascinating race," Mitchell said. Rep. David McKinley (R) lost to Rep. Alexander Mooney (R) in West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District. Get to know the balance of power in the 118th Congress, Read more: Kyrsten Sinema leaves Democratic Party, registers as independent. This is the first time since the . "I dont think thats exactly what were seeing because the candidates that did [win], including Gov. The Missouri FOP has endorsed Schmitt in the primary. Theres nobody more Montana than Jon Tester., Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) arrives for an all-Senators briefing on Wednesday, April 19, 2023 at the Capitol in Washington, D.C., to discuss the leaked documents on a Discord chatroom by Massachusetts Air National Guardsman Jack Teixeria. Former President Donald Trump endorsed Parnell in September. Pruitt served as Oklahoma's attorney general from 2011 to 2017 and as a member of the state Senate from 1999 to 2007. Trump, he said in a recent interview with Ally Mutnick, was "spiteful and petty and vengeful" and a Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands, and businessman Everett Stern. Mullin has represented Oklahomas 2nd Congressional District since 2013. Trump endorsed Hice. ", Politico's Natalie Allison wrote, "Dolan was the only candidate on a debate stage of five in March to raise his hand when the moderator asked if, for the betterment of the Republican Party, it was time for Trump to stop talking about the last presidential election.". Colorado, Illinois, Oklahoma, and Utah held statewide primaries on Tuesday. Trump appeared at a rally for Vance in Delaware, Ohio, on April 23, saying, "J.D. "The first question we have to ask is, do we still need the FBI? South Carolina's 1st: Incumbent Nancy Mace defeated Katie Arrington. The Law Did Not Treat Them Kindly. Qualifications to be the Commander-in-Chief. A Trafalgar Group poll conducted April 13-14, just before Trump issued his endorsement, showed Mandel at 28%, Vance at 23%, and Gibbons at 14%. Colorado's 8th District: Barbara Kirkmeyer defeated three other candidates with 41% of the vote. Conventional wisdom says Pritzker will do so, marking him as a heavy favorite for November in a Democrat-dominated state that for decades has been hospitable to only moderate Republicans in statewide races. The Republican Party of Connecticut voted to endorse Themis Klarides for U.S. Senate at its convention Saturday and guaranteed two other candidates spots on the ballot. Incumbent Mark Kelly (D) defeated Blake Masters (R) in the general election for one of Arizona's U.S. Senate seats on November 8, 2022. We tallied 244 primaries and conventions in which Trump endorsed, 241 of which had taken place as of September 15, 2022 (the other three were in Louisiana). He repeatedly clashed with his own partys leadership, calling Chris Sprowls, the top Republican in the Florida House, a RINO: Republican In Name Only. Fellow Republican Senate candidate Gino Campana wrote, "Joe Odea is petitioning onto the ballot because it's painfully obvious he is way too liberal to win at the convention. The Hills Tal Axelrod wrote, "The nominating contest is largely a race between Rep. Mo Brooks (R) and Katie Boyd Britt, the former chief of staff to retiring Sen. Richard Shelby (R)." The final ballot count is scheduled for June 21. The Hill wrote about results in Illinois' and Colorado's primaries where Democrats sought to influence outcomes: Ahead of Tuesdays primaries, Democrats made clear what kind of Republicans they hoped to run against in November, pouring money into ads boosting far-right candidates with shaky general election prospects. (Greg Nash). Six Republican primary candidates for Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate seat participated in a forum on April 2 at the Pennsylvania Leadership Conference. Candidates who received 15% or more of the delegate vote qualified automatically for the primary without needing to collect petitions. Baileys path to victory is not readily apparent. On Feb. 22, U.S. Sens. In Idaho, far-right Lt. Gov. In the 2022 midterm elections, the Republicans gained control of the House of Representatives. Jim Justice announced a Senate campaign on Thursday afternoon, setting up a potential challenge to incumbent Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, who has not yet said if he'll run for reelection. ", Twenty-one candidates are running in the Aug. 2 primary. The primary is set for May 3. Timken, a former state Republican Party chair, has released ads about her opposition to critical race theory, mask and vaccine mandates, and Biden's immigration policy. Three of the four House incumbents with Trump-endorsed challengers voted to impeach Trump for incitement of insurrection following the Jan. 6 Capitol breach: Liz Cheney, Jaime Herrera Beutler, and Fred Upton. Veteran Marjorie K. Eastman, former Gov. So, the Democrats still hold the majority. If she does, she is the likely favorite to win the party nomination over Pima County Sheriff Mark Lamb, who officially launched his bid earlier this month. National Review's Alexandra DeSanctis wrote about other differences between South Carolina's 1st and 7th District primaries that may have influenced outcomes for Mace and Rice: What are we to make of the discrepancy? Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.), who chairs the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said the group will be supporting all incumbent senators. Click the links to follow up on those races. "Whichever candidate manages to hobble out of their intraparty battle will be damaged and out of step with the voters who will decide the general election," said Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spokesperson Amanda Sherman Baity. Three forecasters rate the general election as Likely or Solid Democratic. See our endorsements page for a full list. Nineteen candidates are running for U.S. Senate, including incumbent Lisa Murkowski (R). Pennsylvania Governor: State Sen. Doug Mastriano won against eight candidates. Ask almost any Republican in the Keystone State and theyll say the GOPs chances to defeat Casey are zilch if David McCormick, the former CEO of Bridgewater Associates who lost the states Senate primary to Mehmet Oz last year, isnt the nominee. Senate races are just different they're statewide, candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome. North Carolinas primaries are scheduled for May 17. Perdue's endorsers included former President Donald Trump (R) and former Alaska Gov. Sen. Richard Burr (R) isn't seeking re-election. Sivalingam is a landlord and previously ran for state representative as a Republican and as a Democrat. We're here to help with life's everyday questions, This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Who controls the Senate? Forecasters view the general election as Likely or Lean Republican. According to the Missouri Times' Kaitlyn Schallhorn, Long "questioned Hartzlers conservative voting record, comparing it to Wyoming Congresswoman Liz Cheney.". Kansas attorney general: Former Secretary of State Kris Kobach won with 42% to state Sen. Kellie Warren's 38%, according to results available Wednesday afternoon. Michigan governor: Tudor Dixon won. Its pretty rare for a U.S. Senate seat to open up." Candidates and satellite groups have been running ads since the first few months of 2021. In 2016, Hassan (D) defeated incumbent Kelly Ayotte (R) by 0.1 percentage points. ODea ultimately clinched the nomination to take on Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.). I have built a grassroots campaign supported by President Trumps advisors, and I will use this energy to win at the convention. Illinois' 15th District: Rep. Mary Miller defeated Rep. Rodney Davis 58% to 42%. Rep. Ryan Zinke (R-Mont.) So neither qualifies as anti-establishment outsiders. ", Vance and candidates Josh Mandel, Jane Timken, and Mike Gibbons have emphasized connections to and support for Trump in their campaigns. [The 2022 primary] wasnt a race he built a base for. ", Walker said, "When we stepped away from Congress, it was in our heart to run across North Carolina to be able to take what weve been able to do in central North Carolina and take it across the state for the U.S. Vance. Walter Blackman finished second with 24%. Before the primary, independent forecasters viewed the general election as Likely or Solid Republican. Helping to understand the balance of power. PennLive.com's Charles Thompson wrote, "All the candidates said they would embrace a Trump endorsement; oppose [U.S. Supreme Court nominee Ketanji Brown] Jacksons confirmation; would support either greater regulation or the break-up of Big Tech companies like Facebook and Twitter as a matter of protecting free speech; and support tougher policies against China, including a strong defense of Taiwan.". He is our best chance for victory in what could be a very tough race. Pruitt is one of several former Trump administration officials running for Congress in 2022. So far, two top-tier candidates have jumped into the race to replace Brown Matt Dolan and Bernie Moreno, both of whom ran in 2022 while two others Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose and Rep. Warren Davidson are eyeing potential bids. Incumbent Sen. Roy Blunt (R) isn't seeking re-election. There are 35 seats up in 2022 - including a special election in Oklahoma - of which 21 are held by the GOP. Whether its Idaho Gov. Raphael Warnock of Georgia, Mark Kelly of Arizona and Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada are all rated Toss-ups, while Sen. Maggie Hassan 's race in New Hampshire is. ", Former President Donald Trump endorsed another Senate candidate, Rep. Ted Budd, in June. . This year, Greitens' ex-wife alleged that he abused her and one of their children. Rep. Tom O'Halleran (D), who represents the old 1st District, is running in the 2nd. American Dream Federal Action spent $300,000 supporting Mowers, and Truth & Courage PAC spent $200,000 supporting Leavitt. Working in Baileys favor is the expectation this will be a big Republican year nationally with the usual mid-term presidential backlash compounded by high inflation and gas prices and a worrisome war in Ukraine. Palin, a former governor and 2008 vice presidential candidate, is running in both the special general election and the regular top-four primary for U.S. House on Aug. 16. RealClearPolitics' Susan Crabtree wrote that Trump's endorsement record differs for gubernatorial and other types of endorsements: Millions of words were written and much airtime expended handicapping whether Georgia would show that Trump had molded the Republican Party in his own likeness. The former president's son, Donald Trump Jr., appeared with Vance at another rally in Toledo, Ohio, on April 25. Four of the five candidates with the most votesexcept Dolancampaigned on connections to and support for Trump. U.S. Rep. Billy Long, who also participated in the forum, criticized Hartzler at the end of the event. Colorado Secretary of State: Pam Anderson won with 44% of the vote. John Thune (R-S.D.) Alaska's U.S. House special: Saturday's special primary election for Alaska's At-Large Congressional District remains uncalled. In another ad, Moreno refers to himself as a "pro-Trump legal immigrant." Manchin is formidable. Here are just a few stories capturing key moments: According to a Washington Post analysis, Democratic groups and individuals spent around $53 million in Republican primaries this year, 65% of which occurred in Illinois' gubernatorial primary.

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